Dv8thwonder said:
Nintendo's success during the 7th gen was anything but modest. So much in fact that earlier in the gen Sony and Microsoft mocked its success only to mimick it later on. 350 Million consoles sold on the advent of new disc formats. That is no longer the case. Nintendo's strategy is handheld first then home console. Re: Nintendo's 22% chance of Bankruptcy, Yes I do and it's not so farfatched if you understand how they came to that conclusion. The majority of people who play M rated titles can barely vote. Nuff said. |
It was modest. They had an amazing start but were unable to sustain it. By the time the PS3 goes off sale it will likely be around 103 million vs 90 million. I think modest perfectly describes that victory.
Aaaah, of course! They sold 350 million consoles and 1.7 billion games because of new disk formats! :D But of course since that's not the case anymore the WiiU should have no problem beating the PS4. I imagine the Wii’s last few years of continuous defeat by both its competitors was also just a fluke. All part of Nintendo’s master plan no doubt ^^ Even if 100% of every sale Sony has ever made was due to new disk formats, that would just show it was a great strategy.
I'm not going to get into a long discussion of economics with you, especially over statistics of generalized probability. In the real world neither Sony nor Nintendo have much chance at all of going bankrupt in the next few years. It's certainly possible for them to change shape or size, but to be dismantled entirely is pretty laughable. Every division of Sony would have to be making loses big enough and fast enough to deplete available assets. If it was only certain divisions making those losses, with no possibility of them being made viable again, then they’d be split from the primary corporate body and sold. The stocks would likely take quite a hit, but the company itself would still be intact. Even if they did somehow manage to get to the point of bankruptcy, you’d then have to consider the possibility of a government bailout (which is very ossible for a company of Sony’s size). At that point you are talking about politics as well as economics, making guessing probabilities even more complex.
The stock market would be a lot different if it was that easy to predict the rise and fall of multibillion dollar companies :P
Anyway, give me a shout when Nintendo's unpatrolled home console strategy starts to work! :)








