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AAA300 said:

There are too many threads on when will ps4xbox pass wii u its just plain stupid! I think its time to predict when the launch hype stops when all the hardcore have bought there brand of choice and sales slow down on the new systems. The hardcore crowd is not as big as most of the users here would like to belive and there is not a whole lot of games on the new console to convenience the average gamer to jump in.I think will see a drop faster than what most people would like outside of japans launch I think it dies down in late jan. early feb. Most games are on old and new consoles the average gamer has no big reason to buy a new console if cod or titanfall bf4 or madden are still on the old.PS3 had a big launch because of the hardcore fans and than it slowed considerable same with wii u so dont act like its not possible!  

I really don't think that it's just hardcore fans buying ps4. There was and to an extent still is an insane hype for ps4's. That hype makes people who are by no means proper gamers (see wii crowd), wanna buy one, because it's something cool to have. It happens with every product. Best example would be iphones and ipods/ipads. There's little reason to own one or especially to upgrade to the newer version, but as soon as their contract is up, people tend to buy the latest model. Whether it's to show off or anything else, many of those people are not hardcore apple fans, they just follow what everyone else is doing. Same with the ps4. According to VGChartzers working at retail, there were people joining the queues, when they saw how massive they were.

The fact that there are constant shortages of ps4's and people see signs of "ps4 out of stock", they might be tempted to buy one when they see it in stock, in fear of not being able to buy one, if they want to at some point (even though it currently has no games they need). I considered buying one and then I had to remind myself that shortages or not, I simply don't have the time to buy one, since I have a huge ps3/psvita backlog. Marketing and media affects us and non hardcore gamers more than we care to admit or even realize. 

As I stated elsewhere I constantly see an impresssive number of posts on 9gag of people buying a ps4, receiving at a gift or wanting to get one. The ps4 suddendly becomes the cool product to have and it's a constant advertisement and the best one Sony could ask for. SImilarly, I, after seeing an annoying amount of posts about the The Hunger Games and Jennifer Lawrence on 9gag, I decided to watch the first movie and after becoming a fan of hers, I even watched American Hustle just cuz she was starring in it. 

I expect the ps4 hype to very low at the beginning of February and to increase siginificantly again around March. I don't see it properly dying any time soon.