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oniyide said:
chris_wing said:

I think Mario Kart will get about a 50% attach rate by the end of 2014, a good question is will it drive Wii U sales? I'll play it safe and say 4.5 million copies by the end of 2014.

Smash will get maybe 25-30% attach rate since it's a fighting game & not as accessible as MK, again, will it be a system seller? I'll say around 2.3 million by year end.


im sorry but no. NSMBWiiU has sold a little more than 3 mil. thats with it being bundled and on the market for little more than a year. It is a far more popular franchise than either Smash or Kart. you think MK will do more than a 2d Mario with only 9 months? Explain. 

Your Smash numbers make sense...if one wants to pretend their is no 3DS version, which i gaurantee will take some sales away from the WIi U.


How is 2D Mario more popular than Mario Kart?

DS: NSMB-29m Mario Kart-23m

Wii: NSMB-27m Mario Kart-34m

3DS: NSMB-7m Mario Kart-9m

Total: NSMB-63m Mario Kart-66m

On 2/3 of those consoles Mario Kart sold better and overall Mario Kart sold better on those 3 consoles, basically the 2 series are virtually tied in terms of popularity if going by releases in the past 10 years.

Also there is nothing wrong with his Smash Bros prediction, 3D World has sold 1.3m on a 5m install base, by the end of 2014 its possible that Wii U is around 10m so 2.3m isnt out of the question.



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