PS4/WiiU/XOne Million Seller list(Updated 1/11/14!)

[d21lewis]

freedquaker said:

I feel like Nostradamus here but the American Market is very predictable, much more so than depicted otherwise, especially by the media and the fan base.

Here is the story for US. Americans are practical and very price sensitive. They are not bothered by the things like "brand loyalty" or "console design" etc. They can easily switch from one platform to another given compelling reasons. However, they are also very much driven by the "networking effects" beginning from their childhoods (which is often confused with the brand loyalty). Now given all that,

I had indicated multiple times before, X360 was 33% cheaper at launch than PS3 and sold about 30% more, which is more or less a 1-to-1 relationship. Now that XB1 is 20% more expensive than PS4, you can expect it to sell around 20% LESS than PS4. Of course there are many other factors, but they will tend to cancel each other out at the end of the day.

Now with that 20% deficit, I am taking 3 of the most commonly popular games up there, and compare their current sales in US, and contrast the ratio between PS4 and XB1. Let's see what number we'll arrive at!

PS4
-----------
Call of Duty: Ghosts : .78
Battlefield 4 : .59
Assassin's Creed IV: .50
-----------
Total : 1.87

XB1
-----------
Call of Duty: Ghosts : .70
Battlefield 4 : .49
Assassin's Creed IV: .28
-----------
Total : 1.47

Ratio for the totals
XB1 / PS4 = .79

Tada! That's almost exactly equal the price ratio between those two!

So there you have it. You can expect a 44-56 divide between XB1 and PS4 in US (20% in favor of PS4), or somewhat more in favor of PS4, due to other networking effects.

Read more here:
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=167458&page=1

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