PS4 Will Probably Outsell Wii U by Spring Globally - Michael Pachter

[zorg1000]

Seece said:

oniyide said:

eyeofcore said:

oniyide said:

eyeofcore said:

Faust said:

eyeofcore said:

Everyone makes mistakes, including you and me... But I don't make mistakes when comes to estimation and predictions because I do research and I look at smallest detail possible then I calculate all the variables, factors and effects of upcoming events. I don't think you have an eye for detail like I do...

allow me to be sceptical about this one.

 

Your last predicction was about Wii U to reach an install base of at least 12.5 million in worst case scenario and 18 million in best case scenario by end of 2014... Well in that case i would say wii u will sell 1 to 30,000,000 by the end of 2014. Pretty sure i cannot miss in this one = D

You are making a elephant out of a flee... Best case scenario is if Nintendo announces a couple of more exclusives from1st/2nd party and if 3rd party developers also make an exclusive.

im sorry but are you back tracking on your prediction?

I am sorry... But I need to ask you this... Can you read or not?

I am not back tracking. 12.5 million is worst case scenario, 18 million is best possible if Nintendo makes all the right moves(more 1st/2nd/3rd party exclusives, persuade some 3rd party to jump back and bring some, if software sales are good then even dropping price to 250$ near holidays of 2014).

There was a recent rumor of another 3rd party exclusive and people are speculating, it could be Devil's Third which would be a bit smaller "Megaton" than Bayonetta 2 yet it could also be Shenmue 3 because of DLC that introduces Ryo which has a vehicle with Shen3 on  license plate so it could be a hint for Shenmue 3 which may be a Wii U exclusive since Nintendo has a 3 game deal with Sega.

so you are basing your theories on...rumours? Yeah we got a bright one here. Wii U isnt adding an additional 13 mil consoles sold. Because its already Jan and they cant really make right moves, there not getting 3rd party exclusives, nothing that will be substantial and devil's 3rd is not a megaton, the fact that you think that ensures i can never take you seriously. I think your worst case scenario is the most likely case. Aw hell ill say 14mil to be generous. And Sega had a 3 SONIC game deal, at least get your facts right.

14m is crazy, best case scenario at this point. Will at best be 11m.

10-12m sounds about right to me. Thats 5-7m in 2014 or about a 100%YoY increase