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Yakuzaice said:
benji232 said:

Again, 3ds is tracking 100k+ lower over last year on the same week. How are these numbers unrealistic to you? Give me one solid argument.

While I don't think the 3DS numbers are way off, just saying they are 100k+ lower than last year doesn't tell the whole story.  Japan alone makes up more than the total YoY drop, and we can be pretty confident with those numbers thanks to data from multiple other trackers.  While we don't have UK numbers for the week ending the 21st yet, it will likely bring the LTD to around 2.6 million.  This is at odds with the recent news on December 19th that it had just passed 2 million.  The strong weekly hardware sales also seem fairly incongruous with the low number and placement of 3DS software in the Chart Track top 40.

Last year also had the week ending one day closer to Christmas.  Probably not a huge factor, but it could have an influence of a few percent.

With that said, I don't think 3DS sales are absolutely incorrect, but being down YoY worldwide isn't a reason to discount that possibility.

While I am not going to argue that the 3DS might be overtracked in UK, we simply can't know for sure when that 400-500k was actually overtracked. Was it in 2012? In 2011? In 2013? We don't know, which is also why I believe vg didn't adjust these numbers yet. 

For the rest, we'll just have to wait for NPD. But I seriously doubt it will be overtracked.

Also, when will January's NPD numbers be released?



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M