thismeintiel said:
We could be wrong. I'm not denying that. Of course, you are looking at Japan. Just because it rises, doesn't mean NA will. Just like if it rises in NA, that doesn't mean it will rise in Japan. Take Wii U and PS3 HW, for example. November in the US is a huge shopping month, where sales increase exponentially compared to Oct. Now the Wii U, a 1 year old console, only rose 160K over Oct (~60K). That comes out to an increase of just 40K a week. The PS3, a 7 year old console, rose 290K over Oct (~120K). Or an increase of 70K per week. If you look at Japan, however, the PS3 has risen in Dec (when Japan's shopping starts), but is only hovering ~25K. The Wii U, however, has risen from ~30K at the end of Nov to ~100K just last week. In other words, the Wii U is going to do fine in Japan, especially during the holidays. But, its not setting the rest of the world on fire. Nor is its SW sales. |
I agree that they are 2 completely different markets and consoles/sw have different sales curve. But, were still in the biggest month of sales in the US, which means that it could be very possible that 3D world is selling just as much as it's FW sales. I mean, it makes sense going with Vg hardware sales. The wiiU sold 110k units while the game sold 135k. SM3DW is the biggest title of this holiday so it wouldn't surprise me at all if most wiiU buyers are picking up that game with their console. Also, there was still a good number of U owners that still had not purchased the game and were perhaps waiting to purchase it for the christmas period.
All im trying to say is, these numbers are far from impossible. We'll just have to wait for NPD numbers in January to know for sure. But these sales numbers didn't look unrealistic at all to me.
Predictions for LT console sales:
PS4: 120M
XB1: 70M
WiiU: 14M
3DS: 60M
Vita: 13M