Half or more of a consoles life sales come from consumer attraction to third parties. Nintendo has already lost even though they are ahead. Sony and Microsoft will pass by or before summer 2014. In a true traditional gaming market its about finding a balance between first, second and third party and I think Sony much like last gen will have the most varied exclusives and take the crown once more. Microsoft is starting with a bang but most of their appeal is coming from them keeping games away from Sony..