Wii U vs PS4 vs XOne - First Weeks

[Turkish]

pokoko said:
I called a 45/55 percent split at most in North America between the XO and PS4 months ago and I'm sticking with that. It's going to be close. Europe, the PS4 should win by a comfortable margin. Japan, the PS4 will win out over the Wii U once the third-party titles start rolling out. Japan is extremely trend oriented, though, so a big hit by Nintendo or a partner could possibly make it a close race or even give Nintendo the edge.

The fight for third-party exclusives in Japan is going to be fierce. I don't really understand why but many of the big Japanese publishers like to release on only one console. Nintendo scoring a big franchise could be key. However, the PS4 should retain many of their exclusives from the PS3 generation, so they should do well regardless.

3rd parties will keep on ignoring Nintendos console, especially the Japanese 3rd parties. Nintendo consoles are solely dependent on Nintendo franchises. The PS4 is easier to develop for and therefore more attractive for Japanese 3rd parties to make their game on that console only. Last gen Wii outsold PS3 and PS3 still got most of the 3rd party support, the huge marketshare of PS4 in the West and its easier to develop for architecture will result in more Japanese PS4 support this time.