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GT6 follows GT5, a game that disappointed many, or that did not deliver in some key aspects, most notably online. I was fully expecting then what GT6 has now as far as online goes.
Still, it did deliver many things and it kept evolving and was getting better over the years.
GT6 is far better I hear, and the online is or will be much better than GT5 again I hear. Big change. Plus there's better and different physics. Both of these are there to provide an opportunity for a real online ecosystem of racers, racing and racing series - I hope. (Ethomaz, is it so?)
Then there's GT Academy - the reason why the fw decline in sales from GT5 to GT6 is far smaller in the US than in the EU. It's catching on and becoming more and more known. It will push the sales slowly, I think to ok numbers, while in the meantime sweetening the general gamer's attitude towards GT again, in preparation for the obligatorily fantastic GT7. (Am I setting myself up for disappointment?)
Don't forget, Polyphony is in this for the long game and the game changing game.
So a flop? If there are 20% digital sales and the Japan numbers are good, probably not at all.
I'm curios to see an reaction interview with someone in charge on GTPlanet.

 

Edit - Afterthought: 240k in USA, 200k in Japan and only 250k in Europe??!! - does not compute...(and I don't mean that it doesn't add up to 850k. I mean Europe seams way too low.)