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Nintendo's overall sales have always been based on innovation.

DS - Most Innovative thing ever (Led to our Smartphone/Tablet World) - 159 m.
Gameboy - Most Innovative thing ever seen at the time(1st Handheld) - 118 m.
Wii - Same (Motion Controls) - 101 m.
GBA - Just a Graphic Upgrade / More Buttons - 81 m.
NES - 1st console to introduce true home console games/not ports - 62. m
SNES - Graphic Upgrade / More Buttons - 49 m.
3DS - 1st ever 3D without Glasses - 40 m.
N64 - Graphic Upgrade / Analog Stick/More Buttons - 33 m.
GC - Just a Graphic Upgrade with a redesigned controller - 21.5 m.

The Wii U in my opinion is not as innovative as the NES,DS,Gameboy, or Wii but is certainly more innovative then the SNES (not that I dont love it), N64 or Gamecube, and I think lifetime sales are going to fall somewhere in the middle at 65 - 70 million. The games matter in terms of software sales, which are actually more important in terms of profits, but in terms of pure consoles sold its all about innovation. All 3 consoles last gen offered something innovative (PS3 / Bluray, 360 / Best Online Servives) and all 3 sold very well. I just dont see it from Xbone and PS4 this gen. They are just graphic upgrades, with updated controllers, and updated online services. If history is any indication they are going to sell less then 80 million each (less then their predecessors) and I would'nt be shocked if one pulled a Gamecube and really bombed.