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Seece said:

Both shift most of their consoles through third party but also the overal library, all those little exclusives (and not so little, Gears as an example) do shift hardware. Fable 2 sold over 1m in the US in a couple of weeks, MGS$ pushed PS3 hardware sky high in the US that month, there is stuff we don't even know about that will sell millions.

There are a lot of factors that go into choosing a console, probably the biggest being where your friends are going and what you gamed on last gen, yes those can change (and likely will for a lot of people) but as long as something disasterous doesn't happen then there won't be a monumental shift. (before you say look at Wii to Wiiu and PS2 to PS3.)



Sorry but those little exclusives are probably meaningless since they move so little hardware. Gears and fable are mid sized titles so I don't see them as a very strong reason to get an X1 compared to halo. 

Friends aren't the biggest reasons on choosing a console. It's obviously the games. I would go to say that the X1 was just as disasterous as the PS3 was.