green_sky said:
I applaud you OP for dooming all three consoles. So kudos for that. It is really hard to say what final numbers they'll all end up with. We can all kind of make an educated guess that Wii U is not going to end up doing all that well. In fact around 25-35 million would be a pretty great victory considering its sales trends at the moment.
The sales for other two should slow down a bit after the holiday rush. With big game launches pushing hardware from time to time. The analyst are predicting about 100 million each for PSXBO and that might not seem too far fetched for most. The thing is though, the world economy is still in recession. My country (Canada) is on a brink of deflation and many parts of the world have already been there. The US is recovering but not fast enough as there are still millions and millions of people on food stamps. Video game being a luxury item surely falls lower on the list ofpriorities i assume.
The macro economic trends of market contraction cannot be ignored when trying to speculate the long term sales projections. Most of us here make our projections based on hype and one thing we all know is that hype =/ sales.
I do however wish all consoles end up doing well. At least to the point that they are a sustainable ventures for their respective corporations to not pull the plug on them, when the time for next generation arrives.
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I also had a hard time not laughing at the idea that I was "dooming" all three consoles.
I also agree that they will all be profitable to some extent. I would expect the XB1 to be the most profitable for Microsoft because of the cross platform realtionship to Win8 and Winphone and Win tablets. Xbox Music/video/apps will be a big bread winner over time. That is one aspect that I didn't talk alot about before. Microsoft will sell a good number of XB1's due to people wanting one ecosystem for all of their media consumption.
