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I think they could hit a 2014 release date is they really wanted to (outsource the grunt work to an outside studio).

Skyward Sword will be 3 years old by then.

No one knows how big the Zelda team (EAD.3) really is.

A 2015 release date is more likely, but it isn´t entirely impossible (considering that Aonuma said that the new Zelda WILL be revealed at E3 2014) that they may hit 2014.