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I think it will definitely sell 5 Million in 2014 for a few reasons:

1) That is relatively easy to do. It's an average of 96K a week including Holiday 2014.

2) 2014 will finally bring a few big games to the Wii U including MK8 & SSB4.

3) Nintendo will release a non-Gamepad version for $200 bundled with Wii Sports Club. I would normally think that Nintendo would never do that but seeing the current state of the system and the fact that the 2DS exists...