DucksUnlimited said:
You were able to calculate the probability of both of those events occurring? Color me impressed! |
What I was trying to say was that while it isn't absolutely impossible, it is extremely unlikely given the circumstances. If we definitely have Mario Kart 8, DK, SSB4, X, Bayonetta 2 coming in 2014, we are certainly getting other games in 2014 as well. Especially if MK8 and DK come early 2014, both of which are actually new games of an existing franchise that are BIGGER than pretty much all of the games released for Wii U this year (except for SM3DW which only just came out), it is extremely unlikely the Wii U will average less than 420k a month. The only way I see this happening is if the userbases for those franchises suddenly dwindle to near non-existence. Argument that people who play those games already have a Wii U is invalid due to the fact that those games sell much more than the Wii U's current userbase (just saying in case anyone tries to say so).
This is also world wide sales, and we assume that each of these games release for each region 2014, even if the sales boost for the week is substantially lower than it was for previous systems for Nintendo, it would still add up to give the Wii U a real good chance for 5m 2014. Something I think people need to check up on is the fact that 5m in 2014 is extremely low. That's about the same amount of systems the 3DS sells in just December.
