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It hasn't taken off because the casuals haven't soaked it up the same way the Wii did. If you take the Wii out of the mix then the WiiU probably isnt doing that bad when it comes to Nintendo home consoles. It's too late for the WiiU now though. It will get big boost when the big titles come but between them it will drop back to low numbers, Exactly the same way as the Vita does.