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Miguel_Zorro said:
burninmylight said:
Miguel_Zorro said:

Who do you guys like in survivor pool play this week?  I'm still alive in mine. I'm looking at picking New Orleans or Detroit.  Houston is the biggest favourite but it feels like a risky pick.

The teams that I've used already are Arizona, Atlanta, Kansas City, Dallas, Denver,Houston, Indianapolis, San Fran, St. Louis, Seattle, Tennessee.

This would leave the following teams on my road map:

Week 13 - New Orleans over Atlanta, or Detroit over TB

Week 14 - Baltimore over Minnesota

Week 15 - Buffalo over Jax, or New England over Miami

Week 16 - Green Bay (if healthy) over Pittsburgh, Cincinnati over Minnesota, 

Week 17 - New Orleans over TB, or Detroit over Minnesota, or Carolina over Atlanta


You couldn't have an easier roadmap. I'd take DET this week and either NO or CAR in Week 17. All three of those teams could still be fighting for a division crown or wildcard spot in the last week, but CAR and NO will be fighting each other for it, and are likely to keep each other honest throughout the rest of the season. If CHI and GB have a few bad games, the Lions might not have much to play for in that last game.

Plus, I'd feel less safe picking a road team on a Thursday night. Crazy stuff happens on Thursdays.

With all that said, you should now do the opposite of everything I just recommended, knowing my luck.

Looks like I should have picked the safe pick in New Orleans this week instead of saving it for later.  There were 6 people left in my pool.  4 of us picked Detroit.  1 picked Houston to beat Jacksonville.  The 1 person who picked New Orleans won the pool.  Oh well...


I have failed you...