Pillow said:
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I suppose I did come off a little bit dickish by saying that but I'll explain by bolding what they are in your OP:
Bolded 1: Those consoles did essentially fall short due to lacking the resources developers needed to achieve their visions. By the same their full potential was tapped into, the damage was done and we already had systems with more impressive accolades by that time (Dreamcast against the N64, OG Xbox against the Gamecube)
Bolded 2: They've done it before with the Virtual Boy, and the N64 still retained SNES-level sales in North America. (coming up short in Europe and Japan for entirely different reasons)
Bolded 3: You have to look at why those consoles were successful rather than going off of a trivial coincidence though, I don't think the majority of the Wii's demographic could care less if it had Dreamcast visuals or Wii U visuals. Again, the PS1 did essentially win it's generation because of experiences that were impossible on the N64 (you're probably better off comparing it to the Sega Saturn on that front), and the PS2 gave the PS1 install base every reason and more to stay on board.
Bolded 4: Just because a system doesn't have a meme-worthy hardware specific issue spelled out doesn't mean it's immune to hardware problems. The Gamecube and Wii have both had disc drive issues. The NES had the 72-pin error (albeit, I think this one's blown out of proportion given how much more popular than any other system around that time). The Wii U is far too new and isolated, at least for now, to make rational judgement on would be hardware issues.
Bolded 5: If that was the case, the 360 should've stagnated years ago. It's still going strong on the premise of 3rd party support alone since 2010.
Bolded 6: You're right, there's yet to be a 3D Mario game break 15 million yet. History has proven that 2D Mario games are generally the more viable option as long as they aren't marketed and advertised almost identically to their predecessors. NSMBU is the only bad egg so far.
So I'll finish by saying, I don't think it'd be a terrible idea for Nintendo to drop the Wii U in favor of a more tailored system or see it through the rest of the generation either way. They're certainly in a better position to than Sega were on both accounts.
Bet with Einsam_Delphin: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=172355&page=11