10 Week Countdown 2013

[Michael-5]

think-man said:

Yeah I did horrible with the 3DS predictions, never under cut Nintendo in the handheld department...I should have learned.

I overestimated 3DS predictions. Since Pokemon the 3DS has been kinda leveling out, instead of soaring like mad like Nintendo systems usually do in the holidays. I'm worried 3DS won't be up YoY now, it's struggling in Japan due to the release of Animal Crossing in 2012.

pezus said:

Michael-5 said:

You think so? XBO should get similar #'s to PS4 in NA, so 900-1,000k. Plus it could do half as well in EU. so another 450-500k. 1,500k might be the upper limit, but it's not "way too high" IMO.

However I think PS4 will do better in NA, and I don't think the EU will like XBO that mich this time around, but you never know. Forza 5 could push units in EU.

I think 1,350k is the magic number.

450-500k in Europe isn't happening. I just don't see it. I'm worried MS won't reveal their WW numbers due to being afraid Sony will top them by a lot next week. I expect them to announce the US number, and then VGC will estimate the EU number (which I expect to be off - news reports are coming in from English speaking countries where Xbox always does well so they will extrapolate that to the rest of EU, which will simply be wrong).

XBO might not do well in Europe as a whole, but it will do amazing in the UK. I think it's possible for the XBO to get 250k in the UK alone, but 200k for the rest of Europe will be hard, especially since it's only selling the XBO to 11 countries in the EU.

You might be right about official launch week numbers, MS will likely announce USA/UK numbers, but not week 1 as a whole.

Salnax said:
Other than the Wii U, I'm proud of how decent my guesses have been so far.

I'm glad I asked you to participate.