10 Week Countdown 2013

[Michael-5]

Conegamer said:
Heh, I guess I should just pick random numbers more often. I fear I may have lowballed next gen though, which is worrying.

But I believe I'm still in with a shout of winning this thing, at least some catergories!

I think everyone underestimated next gen console sales....well at least their debut weeks. For all we know PS4/XBO could sell something as little as 200k weekly for the rest of the year.

PDF said:

Michael-5 said:

You think so? XBO should get similar #'s to PS4 in NA, so 900-1,000k. Plus it could do half as well in EU. so another 450-500k. 1,500k might be the upper limit, but it's not "way too high" IMO.

However I think PS4 will do better in NA, and I don't think the EU will like XBO that mich this time around, but you never know. Forza 5 could push units in EU.

I think 1,350k is the magic number.

I think this holiday it has nothing to do with games pushing hardware, or even how much demand is there.   This even includes Europe for MS.  It will be about supply and I wonder if MS has 1.5m ready for launch week.  If they do it will sell it.   The fact that they switched from 22 to 13 countries makes me think they don't have the 1.5m .   I would agree with your number and put it close to 1.3m

Maybe, I don't think MS will rush production as much as they did with the 360. They don't want another RRoD issue. However I do think Supply and Demand will play an important role, PS4 might sell their supply, despite the higher demand then XBO, but XBO might not sell their supply, even with only 13 countries to sell to.

P.S. I hear one of the big reasons why MS is only launching the XBO in 13 countries is because they don't have time to set up and test the dashboard to work in the native languages of those countries.