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@OP:

After launch and Xmas boost, it's possible that both PS4 and XBOne outsell Wii U LTD, but we're mainly talking about early adopters, then sales will lower togrow again when the game libraries widen and prices get the first cut, in the meantime Ninty has time to straighten things up and make Wii U grow. In the end this gen could end up being very balanced, with a leader that outsells the others but not in an overwhelming way (except at launch, as we are seeing).

Let's also consider other things: new markets in growing economies and two competitors having a very strong launch and one having had a good launch but botched its first year: last gen had one with a very strong launch and first year and two with decent launches but a botched first year, and on top of that the market leader killed its creature far too early: this means that unless MS, Sony and Ninty all do big mistakes, 8th gen has very good chances to become bigger than 7th gen (obviously for home consoles only, as in portables PSV is still niche while 3DS, despite very strong, can't still match DS over long periods, despite being able to outsell it for short ones).



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