A launch analysis of the PS4 and a hint at its future

[Shinobi-san]

kaneada said:

Shinobi-san said:

We are talking only US right?

The way I see it...if PS4 is anything like PS2 then that will have a major impact on the success of the Xbox One and to a lesser extent the WiiU. I dont see how one can dominate and the other remains successful as well. Especially given the numbers of 360/wii/ps3 in the US. Success willobviously be relative to the old gen.

Thats just my opinion i could be wrong. I think we will see a 55/45 % split this gen in the US (talking PS4/XO here). I'm still not sure which console will get the upper hand though.

I think it's too early to gauge if the momentum in the US has shifted to Sony.

I think the PS4 will be a success in the realm of the PS2 if momentum holds up, but I don't think it will impact XB1 market share. By this point they are both well established brands with very successful track records. It's not like the Nintendo / Sega days where Nintendo maintain creditability and Sega destroyed there's leading to two failed consoles back to back. So I'd say its entirely possible for Sony to do numbers close to the PS2 with the PS4 and Xbox could very well do numbers similar to provided there is enough people buying both consoles over time. It's not uncommon these days for people to own two or three current generation consoles, so I'd say that is plausible. 

As it stands I have full intentions of owning all three consoles this generation which will be the second time out of the 5 consoles generations I've been alive for.

Are yuo saying PS4 can sell 150mil yet have no effect on Xbox One? I dont agree with that...

Yes both consoles have a dedicated fanbase...but that dedicated fanbase is dwarfed by the majority of people who buy these systems. If one console has PS2 like dominance then the other will be negatively impacted.