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my projected xbox sales, assuming the vgcharts preorders and the real sales have the same procentual differences for each game:

 

 


 ps4 preorders ps4 sales sales / preorders xbox one preorders projected xbox one sales
Call of Duty: Ghosts 440,772 703,638 1.596376358 462,512 738,343
Battlefield 4 360,563 396,187 1.098801042 204,905 225,150
Assassins Creed 4 287,610 345,175 1.200149508 196,273 235,557
Madden NFL 25 105,630 133,176 1.260778188 89,881 113,320
NBA 2K14 87,020 111,674 1.283314181 56,361 72,329
Fifa Soccer 14 68,986 77,914 1.129417563 54,715 61,796

 

didn't include NFS, since it was in the preorders for last week for the ps4 with two weeks left, but appears in the sales, dunno what to do with that.

 

so the sum of these titles is 1,767,764 on the ps4 and 1,446,494 on the xbox one. now if you take this in relation, xbox one "could" sell 80 percent of what ps4 sold. i.e. ~800k.

but this last calculation is way off. because the fact i only have multiplatform titles to compare, and the xbox has more appealing exclusives. so based on this you can expect the xbox to sell the same, if not more than ps4!

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other method:

ps4 had 2,196,884 software preorders, xbox one has 1,874,035 - that's 85 percent. so if we assume both systems have the same attach rate, the xbox should sell 850,000 units FW in the USA.



must-have-list for platforms i don't own yet:

WiiU: Donkey Kong

XBone: Dead Rising 3, Ryse