Yeah I dont see any chance for the 360 in Europe either. I mean its already sellin close to the Wii at that high price point, so I dont think they will bite on the 360 even with a price cut.
But NA is where the issue lies. You dont find many males ages 15-28 who dont own Madden and play it. If the 360 owns the GTAIV launch, they will own Madden this year. If Madden is solid, even with little innovation people will but a 360 for $229. If the 360 establishes itself as the Madden console it will pretty much be impossible to catch the 360 in NA.
Madden for the 360 would be like Blu-Ray for the PS3. Its a solid year long source of console purchasers. EVERYONE PLAYS MADDEN. The yearly releases somewhat waters down the software sales, but if you had one Madden released every 2-3 years, it would dwarf every other game in sales.
So thats why I think this March is very important for those two consoles. I dont think EA will mess up Madden again this year, so if its playable then people are going to flock to it. If the PS3 can remain in the limelight until the end of August, then I think the 360 can actually be passed in total sales this year.
