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dallas on 06 June 2007
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HappySqurriel said:
dallas said:
BenKenobi88 said:
My prediction: Both formats will lose in a couple years to a more advanced disc format, one that the PS3 can't use, unless perhaps it had a hardware upgrade.

Blu-Ray would still be great for PS3 games, just not movies...

I have considered that possibility benkenobi.  I think that blu ray has won this war but that doesn't mean that the blu ray is going to be "in the clear" for that long.  The chinese are adopting their own standard high-def DVD.  What if they decide to flood the market with cheap players and dvd's, and move thier cut-rate product to america?  If this does not happen, I really can't see anything happening to the blu-ray in the next 8 years at least, b/c the formats have each taken more than 10 years before the market has had an upgrade.  VHS in the 80's....dvd's in the 90's....high def DVDs in the 00's...


Except (of course) that the majority of people did not upgrade to dvd's in the 90's ...

DVD was first introduced in 1996 and sold slowly. In 2000 (around the release of the PS2) there was finally a great deal of interest in DVD at the consumer level and it began to sell quickly at that point. Most people bought their first DVD player between 2000 and 2005 ...

I'm not too sure whether either HD format will take of largely because I see far more interest from people in Media Center PCs/PVR, Video on Demand and downloadable content than I see for HD-DVD or Blu-Ray ...


I don't know about that video on demand or downloadable stuff.  I think that the majority of the population isn't as geeky as we are, and would just rather pop in a DVD than download and store something off of their computer, to *watch* on their computer screen.  It's no fun to have a group of people cluttered around your computer desk to watch a movie.  It is a lot nicer to be able to sit down on the couch in your home or whatever, and watch a movie. 

 Video on Demand?  Well, I can't say that it will nonexistant but i'm still not that big on it being a major factor in the movie markets.  I've never really watched one of those, but isn't it just the movies that are current, and big?  In other words, if I want to watch pay per view, I can't see that again for free.  That is what DVDs are all about, building a library of your favorite movies.  There is no way that video on demand or downloadable movies can compare with a DVD, whether they are more "high tech or not".