Q3 2013 Hardware Analysis (VGC Exclusive)

[Michael-5]

CGI-Quality said:

Michael-5 said:

bananaking21 said:
im actually surprised to see that the PS3 is flat YoY. hope the VGC data is correct

The Last of Us helped give it an early Q3 boost, and Grand Theft Auto made up the last 10% it was lagging. The PS3 had more big software titles to keep it flat, and it's only for the quarter. Q1&2 were down, and Q4 will likely be too.

GT6 coming in Dec, with bundles as well, should keep it close to flat or flat even. Then again, the PS4 will surely steal sales, so it could come up short.

I was wrong about GT5 sales, so my opinion is probably wrong here, but I don't think GT6 will push as many systems as GT5 did. I'm not sure about European pre-orders, but GT6 only has 1/4th as many pre-orders as GT5 8 weeks before launch in USA, and 1/10th as many pre-orders in Japan.

http://www.vgchartz.com/preorders/40433/USA/ - GT5

Also even if GT6 pushed as hard as GT5, Call of Duty Ghosts is looking to fall short of older Call of Duty sales, and a good percentage of Call of Duty and Battlefield fans will be switching to PS4/One ASAP. Plus Naughty Dogs big game already released in the summer.

Then like you said, the PS4 itself will likely hurt sales, so I dunno. With the exception of GTAV, PS3 was only holding about 80% the sales volume it had in 2012, which is still good. I wouldn't expect PS3 to do any better then 80% of 2012's numbers, which would put PS3's year end numbers over 11 million still.

Maybe GT6 can bring that value to 85% or 90% as well as 2012, but it won't be flat IMO.