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NoCtiS_NoX said:

It seems you are the uninformed one. Trends show that Japanese gamers tends to line-up whenever a new model is being released. I mean not even a single person line-up when Vita 2000 launched. Lots of site are posting about that. Retailers are telling lukewarm response. Pokemon also released 2 days after some say it is a bad move. People are mocking the Vita 2000 some people say it would bomb and could be at PSP go level.

Put all those variables you can't blame them for predicting low.

It's not because they are uninformed and purposely lowballing.

Or he is informed about it but doesn't see that as a reason for people to low-ball. Also, well his sales numbers arguments are very strong, and he mentions all the colors and games released as well as a redesign.

What he says makes sense, maybe some of us weren't uninformed but made a bad analysis and weren't critical of certain news items.