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zorg1000 said:

Which games do u believe will sell over 1 million by March 31, 2014?

Nintendo Land and New Super Mario Bros U have already passed that mark.

Super Mario 3D World

Sonic Lost World

Wii Party U

Wii Fit U

Wind Waker HD

Pikmin 3

Mario & Sonic Olympic Games

Lego City Undercover

Donkey Kong Country Tropical Freeze

And possibly ZombiU

 

Super Mario 3D World-  Yeah.  Pretty easily.

Sonic Lost World-  Probably not.  Colors took a good while to reach a million on a larger install base.  Sonic Lost World looks better, and will likely sell better in the long run, but it will take a while.

Wii Party U-  Yep.  Bundled with a controller and bundled with system in Japan.

Wii Fit U-  Definitely, but the question is how many will be retail.  Nintendo is offering a free full one month trial, and buying a fit meter allows you to keep it.  So, I don't know how that will effect sales.  If we count digital though, it's an easy call.

Wind Waker HD-  The fact that it's bundled will kill a lot of physical sales.  Between digital and retail yes, but I'm not so sure about retail only.

Pikmin 3- At 500K and selling at a relatively decent pace.  Holidays should boost it to.  It'll be a close call but I think it'll make it.

Mario & Sonic Olympic Games-  I don't think so.  According to VGC numbers, Mario and Sonic for 3DS still hasn't hit this, although I believe it's undertracked by something like 300K.  Even so, the 3DS has a much larger install base, so it's hard to see Mario and Sonic hitting that number this fast.

Lego City Undercover-  I don't think the bundle is going to be a huge boost.  There will be other bundles in Europe, and this one will probably be a less popular one.  At about 500K but Lego games have nice legs and this will be a good holiday game.  Should hit.

Donkey Kong Country Tropical Freeze-  Really depends on how the Wii U does over the holiday.  If the Wii U install base gets to about 10 million by that time, this should happen.  So, I think yes.

And possibly ZombiU-  I don't see this game getting half a million sales by March next year.