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IDK. Japan might not be as high as people think. There is likely a crossover between Monster Hunter and Pokemon fanbases, so a lot of Pokemon fans already bought their 3DS when MH came out. The US could be big. $130 is a very satisfying psychological number. $130 is an impulse buy. Nintendo just needs to really get the word out this week.

500K should be easy. I'd say something like 700K.