Super Mario 3D World is the most accessible and appealing 3D Mario to date for many, many consumers. The ability to have a locked camera, multiplayer, a female lead character and the simple and straightforward powerup/damage system of classic Mario make this game a cross between 2D and 3D Mario. I think there is a good chance it will sell to both audiences. We've seen hints of this with the very well-selling Mario 3D Land. I think they may have hit game design jackpot with this title, especially with some of the more vocal core Mario fan/critics being appeased by the latest trailer.
Assuming Wii U sells respectably, I see 3 million this Christmas and beyond 12 million lifetime. If Wii U completely bombs it will do much worse, obviously.
