Mario 3D World sales predictions

[WagnerPaiva]

zorg1000 said:

I mean, the gamecube was on par with the competition, the Wii was unique and had a great gimmick. but, what the WiiU has besides classic Nintendo franchises in HD?

Im not expecting a miracle, Iim expecting the games that consistantly sell over 5m to boost hardware sales. Wii U has another 4 years or so, do u think it will continue to sell at this rate for its ebtire life?

I don´t know man, it is a little scary these days, never before a new system had to face two juggernautic competitors at the same time in a holyday, and, for what i am hearing, the diferences beetween hardware are like Atari 2600 to NES kinda of gap.

I try to compare to the Gameboy and Gamegear, or DS to PSP, or even NES to Sega Genesis, cases in which the older hardware prevailed, but it is not the same situation, is it?

The thing with Mario 3d World is, it looks a lot like Mario 3d Land, which i own and like a lot, so, I was predicting good sales for it, cause it is a fun game.

But, there are 3,5 mi WiiUs out there, so, that is the ceiling really. Of course, the holydays are coming, but, in my opinion, there are tons of people whor going to choose the next gen consoles or the much cheaper and as appealing current gen consoles.

Mario 3D Land is looking good, but it is not like Pac Man on Atari, in which it shipped more units than were atari consoles on the market.

I guess that, lifetime it could reach 4 million units, but I still think that the next year will be miserable for Nintendo consoles (not the handhelds). As the next gen makes it clear how much better their games are and ubisoft realize that the wiiU ports are not profitable, the things will ger really bleak.

In other hand, I do think that each flagship title will generate at least half a million sales, so, Nintendo still has a lot of ground to cover, we haven´t seen yet any signs of:

- Pokemon U,

- Zelda U;

- FZero U;

- Metroid U;

- Erthbound U;

- kirby U;

- trauma center U;

- Ace Attorney U.

So, these games could at least double the install base.

The question is: how long will last the interest on MARIO 3D WORLD?  

I think that, if the next gen FLOP REALLY HARD, then the game can sell what you guys predicted, but in my opinion, those new consoles will really destroy in the market.

Anyway, I raise my prediction to 3-4 million lifetime with a direct install base increase of 1-1,5 million.