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1) Define save. That would help discussion.
2) It's Japan-only. Consoles and by extension microconsoles are secondary device there, after handhelds.
3) Much digital content for the Vita is available on the PS3.

Having said that, I think it can enjoy sales due to
A) its low price
B) its large digital library (PSN store console + portable SW and Gaikai).

I don't think this will make much of a difference in Japan:
C) Its ability to act as a PS4 proxy. (though this doesn't mean 2 PS4s, just that the Vita avoids having to replug)

I will predict 8m in sales lifetime in Japan. If it comes out in the west, 30m lifetime sales worldwide due to lack of high-selling Vita games.