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4 years max.

The hardware is already obsolete, faster than the Wii was, the market demand has changed (casual or gamers don't want the same things), and developer won't invest in it unless it get successful which is compromised given it's beginning.

The best the Wii U can be is a side console for gamers who already have a PS4 or X360, except this time it will sell less than both. Also Dolphin will probably emulate the Wii U in 2 to 3 years.