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Well, looking at things now, PS4 will surpass Wii U easily in 2014. March is a little early, but it's possible. They had 1M preorders at some months, it wouldn't be hard to imagine 1.5M to 2M preorders at launch. Sony already confirmed that they will have stock for the preorders and the launch units at retail. They already confirmed that they will have their biggest launch stock ever and will sell every unit easily.

Wii U will probably striggle on hollydays because of One and PS4 stealling the sales. If Sony isn't just talking PR BS about they stock, they would only have to sell 5M or 6M to surpass Wii U lifetime sales and that is hard, but possible. Over 1M on preorders, this launch will be huge and can make it faster than everyone thinks.