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Can we just put this topic to rest ?
It is obvious: The Vita wouldn´t be in the bad situation it is in today if MH 3G and 4 were previously announced as exclusives for it.
HOWEVER it is highly unlikely that MH4 would have achieved around 2 Million software sales on the Vita !
What is the most optimistic attach rate one could imagine ? 30% ?
So the Vita would have had to sell more than 6 million units to achieve 2 Million ss if it would have a 30% attach rate (which is far,far higher than MH´s usual attach rates)

...and I don´t think MH would have pushed the Vita so far