badgenome said:
So far the net effect of the move seems to have been a push. Whether all of these factors just roughly balance each other out or Nintendo's larger, more mainstream audience will eventually end up manifesting itself in monster (no pun intended) legs beyond those seen on the PSP remains to be seen. But right now I just get the impression that this is about the size of the franchise and it would have sold roughly the same anywhere.
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Again though, that's only because you ascribe the PSP's qualties on to the PSP.
You keep talking about things we can't know for sure, but your whole premise is based on a huge assumption that I'd argue is largely unfounded.
Monsterhunter or no, Vita was never going to be the PSP... once again, as shown by how it greatly underperformed PSP before Monsterhunter was a big franchise.
You keep trying to handwave that away, but there really isn't any handwaving of that away. Even if your arguement is "They put their PSP's away until Monster Hunter came out"
that in no way gurantees those people who did that would purchase it again.
For example, when i got my 360, i pretty much never played it until I got culdcept saga. Which I REALLY got into. Would I buy the Xbone if it had a new Culdcept Saga game? Hell no.
You are ascribing phantom sales as if it should just be assumed they should exist, when all available data suggests that they wouldn't exist.
A push from 3DS to PSP is a push between them, not between 3DS and Vita.
It's only logical to assume vita would be less.
