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Sony will need to stuff the supply channels and ship over 6 million PS4s in order to sell 5 million consoles before the end of the 2013/14 fiscal year. 7 million gap between PS3 and PS4 launches, PS4 has some good launch games exclusive and multi-platform games to coincide with its launch, PS4 priced more attactive than the more expensive and under powered XBox One and  the PS4  is launching at a much cheaper price than the PS4. In order to sell 5 million, 3 million must be sold in its first two months from launch up to mid January and take advantage of the 2 million sold over the 10 week period from mid January to the end of March 2014 is reasonable.