| Soundwave said: Wii U ain't even sniffing the NES, SNES, or Wii. That's pure fantasy IMO. It can barely maintain a sales rate comparable to the Sega Dreamcast competing against a 7 year old XBox 360 and a 6 year old PS3 as is. At this point I think it will require a bit of a minor miracle to match the N64. N64 had ground shattering Mario and Zelda games and an extremely popular version of Mario Kart to boot as well as some huge hits from Rare, most notably GoldenEye, which was a monster blockbuster and it still only got Nintendo to 33 million or so. Is Nintendo going to make a Mario anytime before 2015 that has the impact of Mario 64? Do they have something equivalent to GoldenEye? Or even Perfect Dark? Is the next Zelda going to be more popular than Ocarina of Time? |
On the hardware side i agree with u, although Its possible for It to sell a little over 50m, but the age of PS360 is irrelevent as they are still being heavily supported and $50-100 cheaper. The first console of each new gen has always sold less than previous gen hardware, combined with the fact that Wii U has one of if not the biggest post launch drought and the first time a Nintendo console has been the most expensive. PS360 had easily 3x as many high profile games release this year if not more. Currently Wii U is the HD triplet as its basically a PS360 with a gamepad. People may be interested in Wii U at first then see 90% of its games are available for less expensive hardware that also have 10x as many games. Also there is no incentive for current PS360 owners to pick one up as they already have access to most of its games.
Soon it will have a plethora of games u cant play on other consoles and it will be $100-200 cheaper than its competition. PS3/360/PS4/One all fight for the same demographics and with PS360 still being supported and 1/2 the cost of PS4/One they eat into each other sales. U have admitted that Nintendo systems will 20-25m on the strength on Nintendo fans alone. Also it remains to be seen if casuals are interested in Wii U as there really isnt many games that are aimed at them yet, we will see how many return once Wii Party/Fit/Sports release. It wont be like Wii but 20-25m casuals/families picking up a Wii U in the next few years is feasible. 25m Nintendo fans+25m casual=50m total which is just about the average Nintendo console.
On the software side most of these are within the realm of possibility, whats ur take on those?
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
