landguy1 said:
You have hit it right on the head as far as where the XB1 is HOPING to deliver to. The reality is, just like the Wii, is that you don't ever really know what consumers will latch onto. I have said this a number of times, M4 is delivering a versatile and unique gaming system. The PS4 is delivering PS3.5. Of course, the core gamers will love the basic power of the PS4 and Sony's more extensive 1st party support. The problem is that the 60%+ of the gaming market could really give a shit about that. Most of them want a machine that can play COD/Battlefield(Maybe Titanfall) and maybe offer them something on top of that. If M$ can reel in that group with the XB1's unique features, then things can change quickly. The original Wii wasn't sucessful because of its price, it was because it was a cultural phenomenon(Fad). I doubt that the mass market is really interested in another wave of motion gaming, but a combination of that and the media features may KINECT with them. If Kinect turns heads and explodes, XB1 100 Million, PS4 70 Million. If the market ignores the XB1's features, PS4 70 Million, XB1 55 Million. |
Try saying that to the ps2...
I think anybody predicting sub 100 mill for the ps4, considering everything we know thus far needs their heads checking. As with EVERYTHING going against it the ps3 is almost certain to hit 90 mill with a chance at 100 mill, that's 3 home consoles hitting 100 mill, something only one other console has done.....
I predict 160 mill ps4 80 mill X1 and 55 mill WiiU giving the market at healthy 30 mill console growth of the market, and this is conservative as it's unclear how much and how far India's developing class will grow and how quickly China opens up which is where the real growth in the industry will be (I expect the western world to be flat lifetime)
