YoyOne on 05 September 2013
| tbone51 said: My Prediction 2011⇒ 12.5mil (around) 2012⇒ 13.8mil (around) 2013⇒ 20.0mil [5.6mil currently(33.3mil). I'll go with my prediction that i said since jan!] 2014⇒ 16.5mil 2015⇒ 14.0mil 2016⇒ 13.5mil 2017⇒ 12.0mil 2018⇒ 11.0mil 2019⇒ 6.0mil (3DS Successor comes out!) 2020⇒ 2.5mil (Fades out) Lifetime around = 121mil! I think this gen will last longer, Minimum i see is 100mil /// maximum 140mil! 2014 will still sell good with 2ds, hopefully one more 2ds model, doesn't necessarily have to be an XL! With SSB+ Monolith secret title i think good numbers 2015 will have pokemon Z!!! I think it'll still do well but decline 2016 will have ruby/sappire remakes! |
Interesting, we have almost the same result, but not the same prediction for following years at all.
You seem to think that the peak year will be 2013, I think that's going to be 2014. If you look at the DS example, best year was 2008 but all the system sellers were already released. That's because most Nintendo franchises sell well on a long-term basis. Pokémon will probably sell almost as much in 2014 as it did in 2013. Mario games will keep selling well too. And good games keep coming, Smash Bros being one of them.
And you think the successor is for 2019, which I think is too late. 2018 or maybe even 2017 IMHO.
