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I myself see a couple of possible scenario's with some likely events:

1. demand>supply but microsoft can't complete enough for about the first couple of months.
2. after that its likely that we get alot of people who love the brand but aren't early adopters iow regular sales pattern untill holidays 2014
3. holidays 2014 huge boost by possible pricecut
4. after holidays 2014 new models/pricecuts( and or removal kinect from package)
5. higher starting prices allows more pricecuts when finally mass producing

so i expect a relative same start as both the xbox and the 360 but due to the larger userbase from previous consoles will pull ahead later



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