3DS | How will it do with 2DS and Pokemon this holiday against its competition

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... in the western markets? Tablets and smarthphones are selling well but this time there's not an iPadX or an iPhoneY.

How good/bad will the 3DS family do against cheaper games and portable experiences? Will a new Pokemon and a $129 handheld be enough to get attention and soar sales to the highs of 2011 holiday?

There's no point to neglect reality: those tablets/smarthphones games are stealing part of the handheld market, especially in the west. But Japan is showing their interest and continue developing those even increasing the numbers adding high profiles franchises, like Layton 7 which was a big hit during the DS era. Now 3DS weren't enough, so they havo to go mobile to increase the profit (?) selling to a higher installbase.

The question is, if Pokemon sales will reinvigorate the interest in the handheld market enough to make some of the companies give better support and stop with, what's looks like, a full migration of portable experiences to those devices.