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This price drop will not do much. The cheapest Wii U was $300 and still is $300. You should think of this more like the Wii U getting nothing but a small memory upgrade. People could however have a stigma of the white wii u being the bad one, so this could help. Also since it is a month away, sales will lump to that week.

I'd say 85k and 5k the week before.

Wind Waker HD comeing out the same day will help.

 

Edited for a recalculation ;)