What will it take to get casual gamers to PS3? Is Blu-ray enough?

[MikeB]

@ Stevr89

Why would you think that they'd all go out and buy it in one year though? By the time that Mario Sunshine, Zelda, Mario Party 4, Metroid, Super Smash Bros, were out, about 2 or 3 years after launch, at max there were 10 million GameCubes out there. Mario Kart was released during this time as well.

So more than half of the Wii userbase may be hardcore Nintendo fans. How large of a percentage would you think?

And you haven't answered my question, now that the Wii has reached GC levels, is it just going to stop?

Not all GameCube users have upgraded yet. So I'll stick to my prediction 2008 will be an excellent year for the Wii, but in 2009 the PS3 will outsell it. For the XBox 360 these effects will take effect much sooner, 2008 it will be beaten considerably. All major XBox games have already seen sequels on the 360.

The PS3 is yet to begin, starting with GTA IV, GT5 Prologue (will sell much less than the full version though) and most importantly MGS4. But that's only the beginning.