| Angelv577 said: For all we know, some franchise keep increasing his popularity, others decline at time passes. So in order to think about the possibility of 10+ sales, the sales of the Wii U need to improve dramatically to accomplish that, and not based the 15+ million sales based on the Wii version only. I predicted 10 million sales based on the current and expected future Wii U sales, i could be wrong, but it's still a prediction and there's nothing wrong based the prediction on every historical data and not the lastest one. |
10 mil is conservative but not outrageously so. Less than 10 mil is funny.
I will repeat this as many times as it takes. Mario Kart: Double Dash for GameCube sold less than 7 million copies in its lifetime. Mario Kart Wii exceeded 7 million sales in a single year... for two consecutive years. Mario Kart DS exceeded 7 million sales just 86 weeks after launch, MK7 for 3DS exceeded 7 million just 56 weeks after launch.
Hold on, let's look at that last bit again. The 3DS console is not matching the pace of the DS hardware, as I am frequently reminded (DOOOOOOM). Yet Mario Kart 7 is tracking significantly ahead of its DS predecessor, selling over a million more than Mario Kart DS in the same time period, over 18 months after launch. Both launched around the same time of year, just before the Holiday season. Yet the 3DS verison is selling faster despite its console selling more slowly.
This is because, as JWein said, the franchise has grown in popularity over the last decade. I suppose it's fair to predict that it will suddenly fall to pre-2008 levels of popularity despite the 3DS indicating that this is not happening. Just be prepared to be wrong. DS and Wii Mario Kart both exceeded 20 million sales, and 3DS Mario Kart is tracking ahead of the DS iteration. Assuming that continues, that's 3 consecutive releases selling more than 20 million. And most predictions in this thread are that the Wii U iteration will sell less than half that.
