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Soundwave said:

I could be wrong but I believe as of now, the Wii U is behind the GCN even in Japan. But yes you're right it probably will eventually overtake it, though I don't think it will be by all that much. I suspect Wii U will finish in Japan similar to the N64 (about 5 million-ish).

I'm thinking more along the lines of 6-7mil. Smash and Mario Kart will do well for it next year.