zorg1000 said:
Not really, they may be a bit on the high side but not ridicilously. 3DS did 14 million last year with only Paper Mario as a holiday title, this year Iit has Pokemon+Zelda and Monster Hunter 4 in Japan so YoY shoild be higher. Id say 16-18 million which would put it at 43-45 million. Next could very well see a price cut and redesign plus possible games such as Pokemon Z, Smash Bros, Dragon Quest 11 and some smaller titles like Metroid, Kirby, Yoshi, Advance Wars. 15-20 is def possible in 2014 which would put it anywhere between 58-65 million. As for Wii U, by the end of the month it should be around 3.3 million, it has 5 decent sized exclusives from Aug-Oct, Pikmin, Luigi U, W101, Wind Waker, Party U so id say a total of 1 million in those three minths. In Nov/Dec there are 3 big titles in DKC, Fit U, 3D World all very big sellers, that plus holiday deals/bundles like Basic-$199 and Deluxe w/extra game-$299 will give it a strong holiday season. 3 million isnt out of the question so 7-8 million by the end of the year. Q1 next year could be slow but likely still up YoY then in April Mario Kart 8+pricr cut will push alot of units. Follow that up with Smash Bros in the summer and Zelda+Wii Sports U in thr holiday and some smaller exclusives like Yarn Yoshi, Bayonetta, X, SMTxFE and a few other unnanounced games mixed in between the big titles. 8-10 million is surely possiblr in 2014 putting it at 15-18 million. Just for reference could I see ur numbers and a break down explaining why u dont think my numbers are possible? |
Some wishful thinking here, when did DQ11 get announced, who says its coming out next year? Btw, you expect 3DS to sell another 13m units in 2013? hmmm... I doubt WiiU will reach 7 million by the end of the year, unless they have a pricecut(and they will). But if it does have a pricecut in the holidays it wont get another pricecut few months later in Spring 2014.
My numbers for jan 2014:
3ds: 41m
wiiu: 7m
360: 82m
ps3: 83m
vita: 8m
xb1: +-2m
ps4: +-2m (both next gen consoles will sell well due to fanbase early adopting)
jan 2015:
3ds: 55m
wiiu: 15m
360: 86m
ps3: 89m
vita: 14m
xb1: 7m
ps4: 10m
