MDMAlliance said:
DM235 said:
MDMAlliance said:
DM235 said:
Seeing as 360 did 8.0 mil, PS3 did 9.2 mil and the Wii did 19.5 mil in that time frame, my predictions are as follows:
X1 = 7.0 mil
PS4 = 10.2 mil
WiiU = 9.5 mil
My reasoning? With all of the negative press, X1 will lose 1.0 mil to PS4. I know that pre-orders in the US for software seem to indicate a 2:1 split (Call of Duty: Ghosts, which would generally be favored on Xbox, is currently tracking at 31.8k for PS4 and 17.5k for X1), but I think this will change as people forget about E3 and MS gears up its marketing machine.
I also think the WiiU will do half the amount the Wii did.
3DS = 55 mil
Vita = 10 mil
If Sony pushes the Vita as a second screen for the PS4, sales may improve, but right now I am assuming they will not.
I don't think the 3DS will be as high as people think, because more people will be playing on phones / iPods than before. |
I don't think in the next two years that the market for smart phones will grow so much it will make the 3DS only sell 22-23m in 17 months. Especially considering the 3DS has only been out for a little over 2 years, a good portion of which were slow times for the 3DS.
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The 3DS did 13 mil in 2011 and 14 mil in 2012. I expect 2013 and 2014 to be repeats of 2012 (14 mil each). So far, the year-over-year comparison for 2013 vs 2012 has supported this. Unless Nintendo releases an updated 3DS model, I don't expect anything to change. I think that any gains due to popularity or improvements in its software library will be lost due to people shifting to mobile platforms.
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I don't think so.
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I have seen way too many kids with iPads and iPods playing games for me to ignore them. Also the 3DS is tracking much lower than the DS, and we know that they are not losing that many sales to Vita.
If you have a better explanation I would love to hear it.
