MDMAlliance said:
DM235 said: Seeing as 360 did 8.0 mil, PS3 did 9.2 mil and the Wii did 19.5 mil in that time frame, my predictions are as follows: X1 = 7.0 mil PS4 = 10.2 mil WiiU = 9.5 mil My reasoning? With all of the negative press, X1 will lose 1.0 mil to PS4. I know that pre-orders in the US for software seem to indicate a 2:1 split (Call of Duty: Ghosts, which would generally be favored on Xbox, is currently tracking at 31.8k for PS4 and 17.5k for X1), but I think this will change as people forget about E3 and MS gears up its marketing machine. I also think the WiiU will do half the amount the Wii did. 3DS = 55 mil Vita = 10 mil If Sony pushes the Vita as a second screen for the PS4, sales may improve, but right now I am assuming they will not. I don't think the 3DS will be as high as people think, because more people will be playing on phones / iPods than before. |
I don't think in the next two years that the market for smart phones will grow so much it will make the 3DS only sell 22-23m in 17 months. Especially considering the 3DS has only been out for a little over 2 years, a good portion of which were slow times for the 3DS.
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The 3DS did 13 mil in 2011 and 14 mil in 2012. I expect 2013 and 2014 to be repeats of 2012 (14 mil each). So far, the year-over-year comparison for 2013 vs 2012 has supported this. Unless Nintendo releases an updated 3DS model, I don't expect anything to change. I think that any gains due to popularity or improvements in its software library will be lost due to people shifting to mobile platforms.